With less than a week to the general election in Ghana, Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia is projected to secure 51% in the presidential race, while former President John Mahama is tipped to poll 48.4%, this is according to an analysis by a political researcher and journalist.
The study, conducted by Francis Kobena Tandoh, projects that the New Patriotic Party (NPP) candidate, Bawumia, will poll a total of 6,718,520 valid votes as against National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate, Mahama’s 6,374,691.
The Vice President is projected to beat the former President with a vote difference of some 343,829 to break the eight-year cycle in the country’s presidential elections since the return to the Fourth Republic for the governing NPP.
The NPP is projected to win seven out of the 16 regions of Ghana, including Ahafo, Ashanti, Bono, Central, Eastern, North East, and Western, with 4,119,605 total valid votes.
The opposition NDC is also projected to win nine regions, including the Bono East, Greater Accra, Northern, Oti, Savannah, Upper East, Upper West, Volta, and Western North, with 3,808,757 total valid votes.
The research finding was based on an analysis of past presidential results trends since 1992 and extrapolation into the future.
Other interesting findings from the research indicate that apart from Greater Accra, the NPP is projected to win the presidential election in all the other swing regions, including Ahafo, Bono, Central, and Western.
According to the research, the driving force behind the anticipated projected victory of the governing NPP is the free Senior High School (SHS) policy introduced by current President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo in September 2017 till date.
Other factors the research established include the massive infrastructural projects in education, health, roads, and rail, as well as the District Road Improvement Project (DRIP) by the government.
Ghanaians will vote in a presidential and parliamentary election on December 7 this year, the ninth since a return to multi-party democracy in 1993.
In all, a total of 12 presidential candidates, including four independent candidates, will be vying for the topmost job in the West African country.
Many political analysts see the contest as a two-horse race between the governing NPP’s candidate, Bawumia, and the NDC’s Mahama.
The country’s president, Akufo-Addo’s, tenure ends at midnight on January 6, 2025, and the new president-elect will be sworn into office the following day.
latest study here: Ghana’s Presidential Elections
